Browse Category: Share Market Tips

Asia Wagers Global Cheer will Outlive Fed Tightening

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Australian stocks added 0.2 percent and Nikkei futures pointed to a steady start after the index scored its highest close in 25 years on Monday.

Asian shares were trying to string together the fourth session of gains on Tuesday as optimism about global growth looked set to outlast an almost certain hike in US borrowing costs this week.

The latest upbeat news came from China where banks doled out a surprisingly generous dose of credit in November, which could bode well for a pick up in retail sales and industrial output due later in the week.

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MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan inched up 0.06 percent, having rallied for three days in a row.

Australian stocks added 0.2 percent and Nikkei futures pointed to a steady start after the index scored its highest close in 25 years on Monday.

Wall Street had been led higher by technology and energy stocks, with Apple Inc making the biggest contribution. The Dow rose 0.23 percent, while the S&P 500 added 0.32 percent and the Nasdaq 0.51 percent.

There was no lasting market impact from an explosion in New York’s busy Port Authority commuter hub which New York Mayor Bill de Blasio described as an “attempted terrorist attack.”

Investors continued their policy vigil with the Federal Reserve set to end its two-day meeting on Wednesday, while the European Central Bank meets on Thursday.

JPMorgan Economist David Hensley suspects the Fed will revise up it is growth forecast while trimming the outlook for the unemployment rate, potentially adding upside risk to the “dot plot” forecasts on interest rates.

“The dot plot previously called for three hikes in 2018; it is a close call whether this moves to four hikes,” he warned, a shift that would likely boost the dollar but could bludgeon bonds.

“For its part, the European Central Bank (ECB)is likely to emphasize its low-for-long stance and continue to distance itself from the Fed,” he added. “The staff is likely to revise up its 2018 growth forecast, while we think the core inflation forecast will reveal an even slower recovery than before.”

RATES NOT EVERYTHING

The divergence in Fed and ECB policy was supposed to be bullish for the Dollar, given it had widened the premium offered by US two-year yields over German yields to 256 basis points from 188 basis points this time last year.

The last time the spread was that plump was in 1999.

Yet the Euro is currently up 12 percent on the Dollar this year, while the Dollar is down 8 percent on a basket of currencies – which just goes to prove that interest rate differentials aren’t everything in forex.

Early on Tuesday, the euro was steady at USD 1.1775 having failed to clear resistance around USD 1.1812 overnight. The dollar was idling at 113.54 Yen, just off a one-month top of 113.69.

Dealers at Citi noted interbank volumes in the forex market had been 35 percent below average overnight and another thin session was likely on Tuesday.

There was rather more action in bitcoin, which touched a record peak of USD 17,270 on the Bitstamp exchange as its newly minted futures contract stretched as far as USD 18,850.

In commodity markets, gold remained out of favor at USD 1,242.78 an ounce having suffered its biggest weekly drop since May last week.

Oil prices were firm on news of a temporary shutdown of a pipeline that carries the biggest volume of the five North Sea crude oil streams.

Brent crude futures stood at USD 64.75 a barrel, after jumping USD 1.35 on Monday. US crude futures were off 2 cents in early trade at USD 57.97 a barrel.


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Indian ADRs: Wipro up 2.3%; Tata Motors, HDFC Bank gain

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Indian ADRs ended higher on Monday. Infosys gained 1.15 percent and Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories rose 1.02 percent.


Indian ADRs ended higher on Monday. In the banking space, ICICI Bank was up 0.83 percent at USD 9.71 and HDFC Bank rose 1.44 percent at USD 96.98.

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In the IT space, Infosys gained 1.15 percent at USD 15.86 and Wipro added 2.29 percent at USD 5.36.

In the other sectors, Tata Motors advanced 0.82 percent at USD 31.84 and Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories rose 1.02 percent at USD 34.58.


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Wall Street Closes Higher ahead of Fed Meeting; Stocks Rise Worldwide

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 56.87 points, or 0.23 percent, to 24,386.03, the S&P 500 gained 8.49 points, or 0.32 percent, to 2,659.99 and the Nasdaq Composite added 35.00 points, or 0.51 percent, to 6,875.08.


US stocks closed higher on Monday as investors prepared for an expected Federal Reserve rate hike later in the week, while stocks rose around the world on continued solid global economic growth indicators.

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 opened flat after news of an explosion in New York’s busy Port Authority commuter hub which New York Mayor Bill de Blasio described as an “attempted terrorist attack.”

US stocks edged higher after worries receded over the explosion.

“The market makes an assessment almost immediately as soon as new information comes in, and this is what you’re seeing,” said Quincy Krosby, chief market strategist at Prudential Financial in New Jersey. “You’re seeing the equity market move higher and the Treasury yields climb just a bit.”

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 56.87 points, or 0.23 percent, to 24,386.03, the S&P 500 gained 8.49 points, or 0.32 percent, to 2,659.99 and the Nasdaq Composite added 35.00 points, or 0.51 percent, to 6,875.08.

Gains in the energy and technology indexes helped boost Wall Street. CenturyLink rose 8.18 percent after the telecom provider signed a 5-year contract with the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.

MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe gained 0.38 percent.

“There’s somewhat of an enthusiasm that global growth is more synchronized than it’s been in a long time, and it’s synchronized in the right direction,” said Scott Wren, a senior global equity strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute in St. Louis, Missouri.

MSCI’s emerging market stock index rose 0.83 percent. Its broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan closed 0.81 percent higher, while Japan’s Nikkei rose 0.56 percent.

The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index lost 0.01 percent.

British shares rose on a weaker pound, rising oil prices and growing confidence in the financial sector. The blue-chip FTSE 100 closed 0.8 percent higher.

Interest in the surging bitcoin and opening of futures trading continued to fuel bets on cryptocurrency-related stocks, many of which have risen exponentially in value in the past three months.

Bitcoin futures jumped more than 20 percent in the US debut on Sunday. The spot price quoted by Bitstamp showed one Bitcoin up 15.34 percent at USD 16,944.04.

TREASURY PRICES NEAR FLAT

US Treasury debt prices were near flat after rallying earlier in the session on safe-haven buying after the New York blast.

Benchmark 10-year notes last fell 2/32 in price to yield 2.3885 percent, from 2.383 percent late on Friday.

The 30-year bond was last nearly flat in price to yield 2.7746 percent, from 2.775 percent late on Friday.

The U.S. dollar rebounded ahead of the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting that ends on Wednesday. The U.S. central bank is widely expected to raise benchmark interest rates.

Tepid wage growth in Friday’s jobs report for November added to concerns that inflation will remain benign and complicate the Fed’s ability to execute further hikes.

The dollar index rose 0.03 percent, with the euro up 0.07 percent to USD 1.1772.

Oil prices rose, reversing earlier losses, after a North Sea pipeline shut for repairs and investors focused on commodities following the New York blast.

US crude rose 1.12 percent to USD 58.00 per barrel and Brent was last at USD 64.69, up 2.03 percent.


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Sensex Opens in the Red, Nifty gives up 10,300; DRL up 4%

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Private and public sector banks take a hit, while crude price hike-related stocks are seen reacting sharply.

Equity benchmarks began the day on a flattish note with a hint of negative bias. Soon after the opening, indices moved in the red zone, with the Nifty giving up 10,300.

The Sensex was down 67.71 points at 33388.08, while the Nifty was down 26.60 points at 10295.70. The market breadth was narrow as 611 shares advanced against a decline of 577 shares, while 43 shares are unchanged.

Among sectors, banks have taken a hit, while midcaps are in tandem with benchmarks.

 

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Dr. Reddy’s Labs, ONGC, and GAIL were the top gainers on both indices, while Asian Paints, Coal India, and HPCL lost the most.

On the global front, Asian shares were trying to string together the fourth session of gains on Tuesday as optimism about global growth looked set to outlast an almost certain hike in US borrowing costs this week.

The latest upbeat news came from China where banks doled out a surprisingly generous dose of credit in November, which could bode well for a pick up in retail sales and industrial output due later in the week.

US stocks closed higher on Monday as investors prepared for an expected Federal Reserve rate hike later in the week, while stocks rose around the world on continued solid global economic growth indicators.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 opened flat after news of an explosion in New York’s busy Port Authority commuter hub which New York Mayor Bill de Blasio described as an “attempted terrorist attack.”


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Indian Rupee Opens Lower at 64.41 per Dollar

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Expected USD-INR is to trade within a range of 64.30-64.50 for today, says Ripples Advisory Private Limited.

The Indian Rupee opened lower by 5 paise at 64.41 per Dollar on Tuesday versus previous close 64.36.

The focus is now on FOMC decision on upcoming interest rate hike in the US. However, USD-INR has got wing from the probable outcome of elections.

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“Given this background, expect USD-INR to trade within a range of 64.30-64.50 for today.”

In India, the 10-year benchmark yield has been slowly moving up. All eyes are on next inflation numbers. Expect the 10-year yield to remain elevated and move towards 7.25 percent gradually.

The Dollar steadied against a basket of major currencies as the Federal Reserve is expected to hike rates on Wednesday, though concerns about tepid inflation weighing slightly on the greenback.


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12th December 2017- OPENING BELL- Paper Stocks Surge, Star Paper Mills Zoomed by 20%

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Stocks of paper manufacturing companies continue its second-day rally after the shutdown of pulp making factories in China. As China has stopped manufacturing its own pulp, which in turn has raised pulp prices, this makes importing paper costly for India; hence it augurs well for stock of Indian companies. Star Paper mills zoomed by 20%, Ruchira Papers gained by 13.39%, Seshasayee Paper was up by 7.17%. FMCG Food was also on a move yesterday. Prabhat Dairy was up by 20%.

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The Indian Benchmark Index Nifty has gained by 0.55% yesterday. The Index opened at 10311, made a high of 10329 and closed at 10322. The Cash Market Benchmark Index Small Cap was also up by 0.41% last day.

Nifty Future is opening gap- down by 7 points against yesterday close of 10346 as indicated by SGX Nifty which is currently trading at 10338.

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPEN INTEREST IN INDEX OPTION

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PRO has a combine short position of 266058 contracts in Index Options. However, in last 2 days, they have reduced the short position of 248698 contracts.

Cash Market Data

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In last 10 days, FII and DII in combined have sold stocks worth Rs. 154.15 Crore in cash segment.


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Ford India to Hike prices by up to 4% from Jan

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Ford India said it will increase prices of its models by up to 4 percent from January to partially offset the impact of rising input costs. “The price increase is necessary due to several external factors, such as frequent fluctuations in commodity prices and rising input and freight costs,” Ford India Executive Director – Marketing, Sales, and Service, Vinay Raina said in a statement.

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The company has tried to minimise the impact on its customers by absorbing a large part of these incremental costs and capping the to 4 percent, Raina added. The company said the price hike would apply to all Ford products, including the recently launched new Ford EcoSport. “From an introductory price of Rs 7,31,200, Ford EcoSport is expected to see a revision of up to Rs 30,000 across variants,” it added. Ford currently sells a range of models, from hatchback Figo with price starting at Rs 4.8 lakh to iconic sports car Mustang priced at Rs 71.62 lakh (all prices ex-showroom Delhi).


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Increase social security pension in budget: Experts to Finance Minister

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Economists today suggested a range of measures, including increasing social security pension, to Finance Minister Arun Jaitley as part of pre-budget consultations. “The amount (for social security pension) has been Rs 200 per month. This is totally unacceptable. There is no reason to keep it so low. So, make it at least Rs 500, I would say even Rs 1,000, if possible and increase the coverage,” noted economist Jean Dreze said after the meeting here. Asked if social security pension is raised it would result in stress on fiscal deficit, he said, “this is peanuts. This is nothing”. He also suggested the full-fledged implementation of maternity entitlements. This has been pending for four years. Former Chief Economic Adviser Arvind Virmani said the government should carry out customs and exim duty reform as the sector has not seen reforms for 10 years. According to Rathin Roy, member Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister, the government is expected to stick to fiscal deficit target.

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“I think there is a political commitment (to do this). I reinforced that. I am sure they will. I said that we understand that there is a genuine commitment to maintain the fiscal deficit and revenue deficit targets. Operational constraints may vary but political commitment is there,” Roy said. Besides, some economist also recommended imposition of long-term capital gains tax on equity, sources said, adding interest rate also figured during the meeting along with rural distress and job creation.

Even the Reserve Bank of India at several occasion has asked banks to pass on the rate cut quickly through the repo rate reduction to consumers but banks are reluctant to do so for some reason or other. Besides Jaitley, the meeting was also attended by top finance ministry officials, including Finance Secretary Hasmukh Adhia, Chief Economic Adviser Arvind Subramanian, Expenditure Secretary A N Jha and Financial Services Secretary Rajiv Kumar.


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Rahul Gandhi elected Congress chief unopposed, to take charge on Dec 16

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The 47-year-old scion of the Nehru-Gandhi family was the lone candidate in the fray.

Rahul Gandhi has been elected unopposed as Congress president, party’s central election authority head Mullappally Ramachandran announced here today.

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Rahul Gandhi will collect the certificate formally declaring his ascension to the post on December 16.

The 47-year-old scion of the Nehru-Gandhi family was the lone candidate in the fray.

Rahul Gandhi succeeds his mother Sonia Gandhi, who remained in the post for 19 years.

The CEA received a total of 89 nomination papers proposing Rahul Gandhi’s name for the top post. All the nomination papers were found to be valid, Ramachandran said.

“Since the withdrawal of date/time is over and as there is only one candidate (Rahul), as per Article XVII (d) of the Constitution of Indian National Congress, I hereby declare Shri Rahul Gandhi elected as president of the Indian National Congress,” Ramachandran said.


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Sensex Rallies 205 pts, Midcap at Record close; All Eyes on Fed Meet, Gujarat Polls

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PSU Bank, HDFC twins, and ITC led the market higher but gains were capped by Reliance Industries (down 0.5 percent).


The market started off the week on a positive note Monday as the Sensex rallied more than 200 points, taking the total three-day gains to 850 points. The rally was driven by positive global cues, taking lead from Wall Street after the stronger-than-expected jobs report.

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All sectoral indices ended in green barring Realty. Nifty IT, FMCG, Pharma and PSU Bank gained around 1 percent each; followed by Bank, Auto, Metal that settled trade with mild gains.

PSU banks, HDFC twins, and ITC led the market higher but gains were capped by Reliance Industries (down 0.5 percent).

The market rallied for a third consecutive session today as the 30-share BSE Sensex gained 205.49 points at 33,455.79 and the 50-share NSE Nifty closed above the 10,300-mark, rising 56.60 points to 10,322.30.

The sharp upside may be indicating that equity benchmarks may have started pricing in early the outcome of Gujarat assembly elections that are scheduled to be announced on December 18.

Recent surveys suggested that the BJP is likely to get a majority in Gujarat, though there could be some loss of votes to Congress due to demonetization and GST, experts said.

Federal Reserve policy meeting, which will begin on Tuesday midnight, is another key event that market is watching closely. Experts largely expect the rate hike by 25 basis points but the key to watch out for would be commentary.


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