Browse Category: Share Market Tips

NIFTY OUTLOOK & OPEN INTEREST IN INDEX OPTION- Get Free Equity Tips on Mobile

Yesterday again FII and Pro have created a sell position 12599 contracts in Index Options. In last 10 days have&PRO has created a short position of 360996 contracts and Nifty has given a correction of 207 points.

 

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27th September- Opening Bell >> Rupee Gives Breakout, ECB’s Monetary Policy Affects Emerging Market

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Rupee Has Given Breakout Of Five-Month High Of 65.20, All Emerging Market Currencies Are Being Affected By ECB Monetary Policy. Intraday trading tips with daily calls through message and free equity tips on mobile call on 9644405056

Indian Rupee has given a breakout of its 5 month high of 65.20 and yesterday closed at 65.45 next target of the currency is at 66.90. Depreciating Rupee may create a panic in the Equity market too. Dynamic Research has also identified sell-off in Emerging Market Indices and Emerging Market Currencies. The Emerging market currency showed weakness after, ECB President Mario Draghi signaled QE tapering in upcoming monetary policy due on 26th Oct 2017.

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ADB lowers India’s 2017 growth forecast to 7%

ADB lowers India’s

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ADB lowers India’s growth from its July estimate of 7.4%, reflecting ‘short-term disruptions’ such as last year’s demonetization and this year’s implementation demonetization.


Asian Development Bank (ADB) has lowered its 2017 growth forecast for India to 7% from its July estimate of 7.4%, reflecting “short-term disruptions” such as last year’s demonetization and this year’s implementation of the goods and services tax (GST) that the bank expects to “dissipate”.

In a Tuesday update to its Asian Development Outlook 2017, the bank increased its growth forecast for Asia from 5.7% to 5.9% on the back of China’s better-than-expected performance and a revival in global trade and strong growth in the developed world.

It expects the good news to last into 2018, for which it increased the region’s growth forecast to 5.8% from 5.7%. The bank upped its forecast for China to 6.7% in 2017, from the previously estimated 6.5%. It also increased next year’s forecast for China to 6.4% from 6.2%.

Infosys unveils private cloud solution with Micro Focus SUSE

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Infosys, a global leader in consulting, technology and next-generation services have said that it has launched a private cloud solution in collaboration with Micro Focus SUSE, a pioneer in open source software, providing software-defined data center infrastructure and application delivery solutions.

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“This solution will help businesses significantly accelerate their digital transformation journey by being hardware agnostic, enabling faster time to market through rapid adoption, providing faster delivery of services, and greater infrastructure agility and control,” the company said in a filing to the Bombay Stock Exchange. Infosys and Micro Focus SUSE have jointly invested in a center of excellence to develop validated reference architectures, accelerators and factory-based migration solutions which will help customers in rapid adoption of private cloud built on SUSE OpenStack.

This partnership aims at strengthening Infosys’ association with Micro Focus SUSE and positions Infosys as a strategic Global Platinum partner, backed by over 500 architects and consultants having data center transformation and migration capabilities. Meanwhile, shares of the company were trading at Rs 896.80 apiece, up 0.02 percent from the previous close at 10:06 hours on BSE.

 

Sensex extends fall as North Korea tensions rise

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Sensex fell on Tuesday in line with Asia and were headed for a sixth straight session of declines, as continued tensions on the Korean Peninsula prompted investors to move into safer assets.

North Korea’s foreign minister said on Monday that the United States had declared war on the country and Pyongyang reserved the right to take countermeasures.

Asian shares withered, with MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan shedding as much as 0.7 percent to a near three-week low.

“Generally, there’s a little bit of spookiness which has come about because of geopolitical events surrounding North Korea,” said Nitasha Shankar, senior vice president and head of research, YES Securities.

Investors await U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen’s speech later in the day for clarity on whether the Fed will stick to its plan to raise interest rates in December.

The broader NSE index was down 0.44 percent at 9,828.85 as of 0544 GMT, heading for a sixth straight session of losses after hitting a record high last week.

Technicals suggest the index is unable to hold the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement level at 9,874, of the short-term uptrend from the Aug. 11 low to the Sept. 19 high. This suggests the index may correct further.

The benchmark BSE index was 0.41 percent lower at 31,498.54.

Financials continued to weigh on the markets, with the Nifty Financial Services index down 0.56 percent.

Index heavyweights HDFC Bank Ltd and Housing Development Finance Corp were down for a sixth and third straight session respectively.

Oil refiner Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd fell 4.2 percent and consumer goods company Hindustan Unilever Ltd declined 3.2 percent, putting them among the top percentage losers on the NSE index.

Nikkei slips from 2-yr highs as tech shares fall; North Korea concerns weigh

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The Nikkei ended 0.3 percent lower at 20,330.19, moving away from a two-year high of 20,481.27 hit last week. The broader Topix was flat at 1,672.74.

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Japan’s Nikkei average edged lower on Tuesday as tech shares and Apple suppliers declined, tracking their US counterparts overnight, while concerns over North Korea sapped risk appetite.

The Nikkei ended 0.3 percent lower at 20,330.19, moving away from a two-year high of 20,481.27 hit last week. The broader Topix was flat at 1,672.74.

The escalating war of words between North Korea and the United States lifted investor appetite for the perceived safe-haven yen. The Dollar was at 111.63 yen after coming off a high of 112.530 the previous day. North Korea’s foreign minister said US President Donald Trump had declared war on the country and it reserved the right to take countermeasures, including shooting down US bombers even if they are not in its airspace.

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Top intraday trading ideas for afternoon trade for Tuesday, 26 September 2017

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The Nifty50 index was trading below 9,850 in the afternoon trade on Tuesday following selling in frontline bluechip counters.

Ripples Advisory Private Limited, Indore collated a list of trading ideas from various experts and here’s what they had recommended:

Bata India is a ‘Sell’ call with a target price of Rs 677 and a stop loss of Rs 701.

Divi’s Lab is a ‘Buy’ call with a target price of Rs 995 and a stop loss of Rs 960.

Maruti Suzuki India is a ‘Buy’ call with a target price of Rs 8,185 and a stop loss of Rs 7,830.

Godrej Industries is a ‘Buy’ call with a target price of Rs 625 and a stop loss of Rs 550.

Taj GVK Hotels & Resorts is a ‘Buy’ call with a target price of Rs 190 and a stop loss of Rs 157.

Amara Raja Batteries is a ‘Sell’ call with a target price of Rs 696 and a stop loss of Rs 769.

 

HPCL makes its first U.S. oil purchase

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Indian state refiner Hindustan Petroleum Corp has made its first purchase of U.S. oil, buying high-sulfur crude Mars in a tender, company chairman M. K. Surana said on Monday.

Earlier Indian Oil Corp and Bharat Petroleum Corp, both state refiners, had purchased the U.S. oil through tenders.

HPCL has bought 1 million barrels of Mars oil from trader Trafigura for delivery in December at the southern Indian port of Vizag, he said.

Why the Rupee could touch 66 in the next four months

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Geopolitical developments on the Korean peninsula need to be closely followed as it could prove to be a trigger for a sudden spike in USD/INR

The rupee on Monday suffered another blow to plunge to a six-month low of 65.10 against the US dollar after heavy buying of the US currency and concerns on the macroeconomic front. This was the weakest closing for the home currency since March 24, when it had ended at 65.41 against the greenback. Besides panic dollar buying by corporates and importers, fears over fund outflows from domestic capital market led to weakened forex market sentiment against the backdrop of imminent Fed rate hike and unwinding of its stimulus measures amid unsupportive global factors. This author explains why the rupee could fall to 66 levels in the near term as said by Ripples Advisory Private Limited, Indore.

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After a protracted phase of low volatility, USD/INR broke through the key resistance at 64.35 last week due to a combination of global and domestic factors. Rupee saw the biggest weekly decline in 11 months and it was one of the worst performing Emerging Market (EM) currencies in this period. The move was not entirely unexpected as the short positioning in USD/INR was overstretched both onshore as well as offshore and an unwinding of carrying trade was on the cards. You can also subscribe the daily news and intraday tips from here.


On the global front, the US Federal Reserve dot plot indicated that twelve out of sixteen members are expecting a 25bps rate hike by the end of 2017. The probability of a December hike has risen to 63% from 38% a week ago. The US Federal Reserve also announced that the process of reduction of its balance sheet would get underway in October. This has pushed the US yields higher and has caused the US Dollar to strengthen especially against the EM currencies. One needs to closely track the US yields and difference between the 10y and 2y US yields. As the yields head higher and the 10s-2s spread widens (indicating a rise in inflation expectations and steepening of the yield curve), it could push the US Dollar higher especially against Asian and EM currencies. The tax plan to be unveiled by the Trump administration on 25th September could also be a trigger for US yields. The tax plan could likely outline tax cuts that both Democrats and Republicans agree on and this enhances the likelihood of it passing through the Congress. The US government has averted a shutdown by postponing the Debt ceiling to December but the concerns could re-emerge towards the end of this year.

On the Domestic front, macroeconomic factors seem to be tilting against the Rupee. Widening trade deficit owing to sharper pickup in imports (on account demonetization and GST supply shock) than exports and concerns over the government meeting its fiscal deficit target for the year could weigh on the Rupee. There is uncertainty around center’s indirect tax collections due to transition to GST and if additional fiscal measures are introduced to support growth, it could weigh adversely on domestic yields which in turn could spook FPIs that have invested heavily in Indian government bonds this year. A large part of the move in the Rupee in the last week could be attributed to offshore unwinding. The 1M onshore-offshore spread which was around 4-6p until last week was -4p this week indicating tremendous unwinding of offshore carry positions. It will be interesting to see what is the stance of the central bank when there is pressure on the Rupee to depreciate. When Rupee was appreciating, the central bank intervened and sought to keep Rupee in line with other Asian currencies. By doing so it has bolstered its reserves (USD 403Bn now).

The central bank, therefore, has the cushion of reserves to prevent Rupee from depreciating this time around unlike in 2013. It also has the option of intervening in the exchange-traded currency futures market. The central bank will have to strike a delicate balance between ensuring the export competitiveness of rupee (due to Rupee strength) and inflationary pressure (due to Rupee weakness).

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Sensex trims losses, Nifty hovers around 9,850; metals stocks shine

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Jet Airways, InterGlobe Aviation, SpiceJet, JK Paper and Alkem Labs were down up to 4 percent while REC, Adani Transmission, Avenue Supermarts, Shoppers Stop and DHFL gained 1-6 percent.

 

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The share price of Avenue Supermarts, the operator of D-Mart retail chain, hit a fresh record high of Rs 1,122.95, up 9.15 percent intraday after the global research house has initiated coverage with a buy rating on the stock.

Goldman Sachs has initiated coverage on the stock with a buy rating and 12-month target price of Rs 1586 per share, implying a whopping 53 percent upside potential.

While adding Avenue Supermarts to conviction list, the research house expects earnings before interest and tax to grow 13 times in next 10 years.

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