Gold prices in India, the world’s second-biggest user of the precious metal, were at discounts as jewelers were postponing purchases on the expectation that the government will announce an import tax cut in its annual budget on Thursday.
The lower import tax could boost India’s gold demand and support global prices that are currently trading near their highest in 17 months.
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The bullion industry has been urging a tax reduction to combat smuggling, which has increased since India raised the import duty to 10 percent in August 2013 to narrow its current account deficit.
“We are expecting a 2 to 4 percent reduction in the import duty,” Saurabh Gadgil, the vice president of the Indian Bullion Jewellers Association (IBJA), told.
“Higher duty has opened up grey channels. The reduction is necessary to bring down the smuggling and unauthorized sales.”
In 2016, smugglers brought in 120 tonnes of gold to India, according to World Gold Council estimates.
The smugglers sell gold at a discount to official domestic price and disrupt the business operations of banks and bullion dealers, sources said.
Smugglers were this week offering discounts of up to $7 an ounce under the official price that includes the 10 percent import tax, said three gold dealers at Indian banks who follow the underground market to help with their valuations of the metal.
The discounted prices offered by the smugglers along with the lack of demand ahead of the potential tax cut has lowered the market offers to discounts of about $2 an ounce, said the three bank dealers.
In India, less than 4 percent of the people pay income tax. Many tax evaders choose to park their illicit wealth in gold as it is nearly as liquid as currency in the country.
India’s Ministry of Commerce favors reducing the duty and has requested the Ministry of Finance consider a cut.
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